Total Pageviews

Monday, May 18, 2020

CORONA VIRUS (COVID-19) ACTIVITY AND SAMPLE ANALYSIS - 6/21/2020 UPDATE

The Daily Infection rate is the best indicator when considering lifting restrictions in place, in my opinionIncreased testing will influence the data.


This Post will be revised once a week, every Monday, to show the Sunday current trends.

Click the charts to enlarge them

Status as of 6/21/2020
This Histogram shows data of ten selected countries, including nations with a wide variety of infection severity.  Added is now the percentage of people dying once infected.  The data table, part of the above chart shows the effectiveness in saving lives of the individual countries' medical systems.  This chart is self-explanatory, and you can draw your own conclusions.

 US-As of 6-21-2020
The US Daily Infections curve is still stalled about the 20,000 to 30,000 new daily infections range.  The forecast line is still pointing in the horizontal direction.  The last 30 plus days have shown no significant improvement.  Opening up the country has seen a 50% rise in daily infections.

Nobody in authority has the guts to lay down the law, by issuing free face masks, and proper enforced guidelines, like wearing face masks, etc. in all public areas, under the penalty of a meaningful fine.  It appears, we rather kill people daily, of all colors, just before the election.  The logic appears to be, let the people be infected and die from the COVID-19 virus but don't piss them off before the November election.  How gruel is that?  Besides, the medical industrial complex is making money in a big way; sadly our nurses and doctors also pay the price.

As of 6-21-2020
On the bright side, the death rate has maxed and is slowly coming down but remains still above the 5% level.


Canada-As of 6-21-2020
Canada's graph of daily infections still shows a clear downward trend, as confirmed by the forecast line. The people's compliance will do that.  Compared to the US, Canada has only about one half the infections per million.  See Histogram above.  This is the example to follow.

As of 6-21-2020
Canada's death rate, however, is still on the rise, which is kind of odd.


Turkey's-Daily Infections as of 6/21/2020
Turkey, who once did very well, is now on the wrong track.  Early lifting of restrictions surely is a major problem now.  The good news is, the forecast line is pointing down.

As of 6-21-2020
Turkey's death rate, although low by comparison, is not significantly lowered, over the last 30 days.


As of 6/21/2020
Russia, broke out of the stall position, and is now poised for a meaningful lower daily infection rate.

As of 6-21-2020
Russia's death rate is still on the rise; out of the 10 countries monitored, they do have the lowest rate by far.  See Histogram above.  However, one would expect with more experience the death rate should show a downward trend but it does not.

China's Daily Infections - As of 4-22-2020
The rate of change for China is so low that updates are more or less of not much use.  China's paradox is simply this, on the one hand they have a low infection rate, while on the other hand their death rate appears to be high.  Very few people have died lately, it appears; one could be very skeptical about their reporting. 
The recent closure of 21 million cell phone accounts, in China, may indicate a much higher death rate than reported.
https://www.ntd.com/the-closing-of-21-million-cell-phone-accounts-in-china-may-suggest-a-high-ccp-virus-death-toll_447579.html

Apparently, if one has no cell phone in China, one does not exist; everything is linked to the individual's cell phone.


Note: Raw data taken from:  https://www.worldometers.info 

Note: The above charts and their underlying analyses were aided by the use of Statgraphics' Centurion 18 Statistical analysis software.



15 comments:

  1. Not all is well after COVID-19 recovery, it appears. A high percentage are left with major lingering health issues, according to many published reports.

    https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2020/04/17/organ-damage

    ReplyDelete
  2. President Trump questions the Chinese numbers, others, including myself, cannot trust the CDC numbers either.

    https://news.yahoo.com/cdc-test-counting-error-leaves-141242313.html?.tsrc=daily_mail&uh_test=1_04

    ReplyDelete

  3. "WHO pauses trial of malaria drug in COVID-19 patients due to safety concerns"
    This is one way to get back at Trump. This drug has been in use safely for many, many years; it became now dangerous, it appears.

    https://www.dailysabah.com/life/health/who-pauses-trial-of-malaria-drug-in-covid-19-patients-due-to-safety-concerns

    ReplyDelete
  4. This explains the success by Turkey to contain and reduce new infections.
    "The success (we have) achieved is the result of the ability of 83 million to conform. Our new lifestyle is one of controlled social life, all together," Health Minister Fahrettin Koca said Tuesday on Twitter."

    https://www.dailysabah.com/turkey/children-across-turkey-relish-outdoor-time/news

    Unfortunately, this is not the case in the US, and other countries which have failed, thus far, to act in unity, and are paying the price for it.

    ReplyDelete
  5. "WHO: Turkey serves as beacon for world solidarity amid pandemic"

    https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/who-turkey-serves-as-beacon-for-world-solidarity-amid-pandemic/news

    ReplyDelete
  6. These are confirmed infections, and the death rates are about 20 times as high as what has been inferred by population-sample testing, since the great majority of actual infections are not diagnosed, mostly those with worse symptoms.
    Current estimates are that the case fatality rate is about 0.3%, but the fatality in symptomatic cases is, as we see, 10-20 times higher.

    ReplyDelete
  7. CEBM reports, on 5/26/2020, a US 'Case Fatality Rate' (CFR), of about 5.84% (No. of Deaths/number of cases)

    https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/

    ReplyDelete
  8. Link provided by Dr. John D.
    "Association of American Physicians & Surgeons (AAPS) Sues the FDA to End Its Arbitrary Restrictions on Hydroxychloroquine"

    https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/association-of-american-physicians--surgeons-aaps-sues-the-fda-to-end-its-arbitrary-restrictions-on-hydroxychloroquine-301069576.html

    Big Pharma appears to be in full control; let the people die to protect future big business may be the mantra.

    ReplyDelete
  9. “UCLA Professor Placed on Leave After Rejecting Special Treatment for Black Students”

    “A professor at the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) is reportedly on leave after he refused to give black students special treatment in their final exams.

    Over the past week, nearly 20,000 members of the UCLA community have called on the university to fire Gordon Klein, an accounting professor at the Anderson School of Management. The petition to remove Klein from his position started shortly after an email was shared on social media, in which he rejected a student’s request of special accommodations for black peers, in light of the protests over the death of George Floyd in Minnesota.

    Earlier this month, the University of Washington (UW) has agreed to students’ demands, encouraging professors to relax final exam policies for black students who are “too busy fighting for their rights to sit down and study.””

    https://www.theepochtimes.com/ucla-professor-placed-on-leave-after-rejecting-special-treatment-for-black-students_3380920.html?ref=brief_BreakingNews&__sta=vhg.hhksexV0jsbdjhv%7CYBH&__stm_medium=email&__stm_source=smartech

    Instead of complying with common sense rules to minimize the mass murder, by COVID 19, of our people (by any color), some seek special privileges for adding to the mass death toll, by demonstrating unprotected and disrespecting social distancing, while some destroy the property of others. Go figure!

    Don't they understand that by allowing special considerations for any minority group will diminish the value of their diplomas and degrees, by raising doubt about their true capability? In other words, have they earned it, or was it just given to them? Not to speak of reverse discrimination. It appears, we are trying to correct the discrimination against one group of people, by discriminating against another. What justice is that?
    What about all these white students also demonstrating, should they not get also special privileges? Where is all this nonsense ending? Why not just pass them all, as long as their body temperature is 37 deg. Celsius?

    ReplyDelete
  10. "'They saved me': How protesters protected a lone cop, a moment captured in powerful photos"

    You cannot and must not paint all people with the same brush; we are not all the same.

    https://news.yahoo.com/saved-protesters-protected-lone-cop-231203138.html?.tsrc=daily_mail&uh_test=1_04

    ReplyDelete
  11. Turkey, who once did very well, is now looking at a 50% infection increase, after relaxing its rules.

    https://www.dailysabah.com/turkey/2nd-wave-of-infections-feared-in-turkey-as-new-cases-surge/news

    I foresee similar for other countries who relax their rules as well.

    ReplyDelete
  12. In Texas it looks like they just want a steady rate of infections that is manageable. They really should push masks more, but it has caught on in some cities like Austin and San Antonio, but much less in smaller cities and towns.
    Masks and avoidance of large indoor events with lots of people (bars, churches, basketball games) seem to be the most cost-effective control-of-spread methods.
    Do take 5000 units of vitamin-D per day long term, the low hanging fruit of coronavirus survival.

    ReplyDelete
  13. The CDC, in my opinion, should be demanding the mandatory wearing of facemasks in public areas, by everyone. However, this self-serving organization will always bend to the will of the powers that feed them. At one time they opined that wearing of masks, by the public, may even be dangerous, this was when masks were not readily available, now they say, it is highly advisable to wear them. This gutless organization should demand that mask be worn by all in public places. Afraid of losing funding they remain on the fence, these cowards. Instead of de-funding our police, this useless organization should be eliminated, and replaced with honorable Physicians with freedom to speak the truth.

    ReplyDelete
  14. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  15. "US revokes emergency use of hydroxychloroquine against coronavirus"
    https://www.dailysabah.com/world/americas/us-revokes-emergency-use-of-hydroxychloroquine-against-coronavirus

    If this drug is as dangerous as they claim, why is it still approved for other uses? I say big Pharma won again.

    ReplyDelete